Yes, the issue is sporadic, affecting only some transactions but not others, which has made it challenging for us and PayPal to troubleshoot.
We and a few clients did some testing that -- at least as far as we could tell from our limited test-sample sizes at the times we tested -- seemed to suggest occurrence of the issue might correlate with the following conditions:
- Buyer chose to fund the payment from their PayPal account balance, rather than from a linked card or bank account;
...and/or... - Buyer clicked a link on the PayPal checkout site to view available shipping methods, but then neglected to manually select the sole shipping method available there*, yet PayPal let them go ahead and finish checkout anyway.
*Since we can already offer a choice of shipping methods (if the seller sets those up) in our cart before checkout, we only transmit the buyer's sole selected shipping method and rate to PayPal checkout, so there's only ever one method/rate available there.
That said, we don't know if those tentative findings would remain consistent across a larger volume of transactions, or if those tests just happened to coincide with PayPal tweaking things at their end that may have caused those results only temporarily, as they remain cagey about discussing any particulars whatsoever. We have at least reported those findings to PayPal in our MTS ticket about the issue.